Life expectancy in western industrialized countries will exceed 90 years

Germans are getting older and older
Last year, the World Health Organization( WHO) reported a life expectancy rising worldwide. The Germans had even reached a new record level. A recent study shows that the life expectancy of children in industrializations, which are born in 2030, could rise to over 90 years.

People are getting older. According to a new study, life expectancy from births born in 2030 could rise to over 90 years.(Bild: pressmaster / fotolia.com)

Maximum life expectancy
Although the trend is that people are getting older, it has long been known, but according to experts, there is an upper limit. Thus, US scientists reported that the maximum life expectancy was limited to 115 years.

Other researchers, on the other hand, believe that they can even be tenfold. However, a majority of the experts doubt that people can live so long.

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A team led by Vasilis Kontis from Imperial College London has now come to the conclusion that the life expectancy of children in an industrialization that is born in 2030 could rise to more than 90 years.

Analyzes data from 35 industrialized countries
The researchers had analyzed data from 35 countries, including Germany, for their study data. The results, published in the magazine "The Lancet", also show that the gap between men and women is expected to shrink in life expectancy. Based on the birth and death data of the World Health Organization( WHO) and using a statistical model, the experts calculated the life expectancy in 35 industrial countries for the birth year of 2030.

They found that life expectancy for men in all countries with a minimum of 85%Probability will rise and for women with a probability of 65 percent.

Especially women from South Korea can become very old
Also regional differences are named. For instance, women in South Korea will have a life expectancy of over 90 years, with a probability of 57 percent.

The authors point out that the achievement of the 90-year limit at the beginning of the century was still considered impossible by most experts. According to the study, women from France, Spain and Japan are almost as old as the South Koreans.

In Germany people are also getting older. The life expectancy of men is now about 78 years, and according to the study is to 2030 to nearly 82 rise. For German women, life expectancy will be increased by almost three years now from almost 86 years.

Gender Differences Shrinks
The data also show that the difference in life expectancy between women and men generally shrinks, but not everywhere.

It is said in a commentary on the study: "The gender difference is expected to decrease in most industrialized countries by 2030, except in Mexico, Chile, France and Greece."

As it is said, women currently live longer in the studied countries than men,because men are more likely to suffer fatal injuries there and often show behavior such as smoking, which increases their risk of diseases such as lung cancer and cardiovascular disease.

Director Majid Ezzati said in a "Lancet" announcement that her prognosis on higher life expectancy is evidence of success in healthcare. It is, however, important that policy support the growing older population.

In the above-mentioned comment, the prediction of life expectancy "can help governments and health services to make the right investments in health, such as the prevention of deaths from infectious diseases and the reduction of maternal and child mortality".(ad)

Life expectancy continues to rise - gap between sexes diminishes
Although experts believe it was impossible for a long time, a new study shows that the average life expectancy in industrialized countries could soon rise to more than 90 years. According to the study, the gap between women and men is likely to contract.

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